Screen 3
Mirror Reconciliation
Indonesia's reported exports of HS 4402 set against what each destination independently reports importing from Indonesia. Two reporters, two submissions, two extraction runs — reconciled here.
Read the weight column, not the value column
Exports are reported FOB. Imports are reported CIF — freight and insurance included. A raw value comparison therefore shows a gap of roughly 5–12% even when nothing at all is wrong. Net weight in kilograms carries no such artefact, so the weight gap is the defensible signal and the value gap is shown only as context. In 2025 this is visible directly: Rep. of Korea, Singapore reconcile on weight to within 5% while their value gaps run +17%, -30%. That difference is freight, not a discrepancy.Pairs reconciled
3 awaiting a destination filing
Unreconciled weight
37,416,392 kg, absolute, 2025
Share of reported exports
of 154.8 kt reconciled
Persistent findings
≥3 consecutive years, same direction
Persistent findings
A one-year gap is noise. These are not one-year gaps.
Netherlands — 7 consecutive years, Indonesia consistently reports sending more than the destination reports receiving, peak +76%.
India — 4 consecutive years only 3 on filed weight, destination consistently reports receiving more than Indonesia reports sending, peak +1536%.
1 of those years uses a net weight Comtrade derived rather than received — state this before anyone finds it.
Malaysia — 3 consecutive years, Indonesia consistently reports sending more than the destination reports receiving, peak +44%.
Türkiye — 3 consecutive years, Indonesia consistently reports sending more than the destination reports receiving, peak +43%.
Germany — 6 consecutive years only 2 on filed weight, destination consistently reports receiving more than Indonesia reports sending, peak +307%.
4 of those years use a net weight Comtrade derived rather than received — state this before anyone finds it.
Persistence is scored as consecutive annual periods where the weight gap exceeds 15% and the direction does not change. A missing year breaks a streak rather than bridging it. Ordered by years standing on filed weight, not by streak length — a long streak resting on estimates is the weaker claim, and sorting by length alone would put it at the top.
Reconciliation · 2025
| Destination | ID-reported export kg | Dest-reported import kg | Gap kg | Gap % (weight) | Gap % (value) | Evidence | Direction | Persistence | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TürkiyeTUR | over-reported at origin | ||||||||
| MalaysiaMYS | over-reported at origin | · | |||||||
| GermanyDEU | under-reported at origin | ||||||||
| NetherlandsNLD | over-reported at origin | ||||||||
| JapanJPN | under-reported at origin | · | |||||||
| IndiaIND | under-reported at origin | ||||||||
| Rep. of KoreaKOR | under-reported at origin | · | |||||||
| GreeceGRC | over-reported at origin | ||||||||
| SingaporeSGP | under-reported at origin | · | |||||||
| Saudi ArabiaSAU | not reported | — | — | — | destination has not filed | · | |||
| ChinaCHN | not reported | — | — | — | destination has not filed | · | |||
| United Arab EmiratesARE | not reported | — | — | — | destination has not filed | · |
Sorted by absolute weight gap. Expand any row (+) for the full period-by-period series with both reported lines overlaid. Every figure opens the provenance panel showing both contributing extraction runs — the origin filing and the destination filing are separate collections and are shown as such. Rows marked not reported are cases where one reporter has published and the other has not; an inner join would have hidden them.